{"id":1691,"date":"2026-05-02T03:00:28","date_gmt":"2026-05-02T03:00:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vietnambiomass.com.vn\/nguy-co-cuoc-chien-gia-dau-sau-khi-uae-roi-opec\/"},"modified":"2026-05-02T03:00:28","modified_gmt":"2026-05-02T03:00:28","slug":"nguy-co-cuoc-chien-gia-dau-sau-khi-uae-roi-opec","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vietnambiomass.com.vn\/vi\/nguy-co-cuoc-chien-gia-dau-sau-khi-uae-roi-opec\/","title":{"rendered":"Nguy c\u01a1 ‘cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u’ sau khi UAE r\u1eddi OPEC"},"content":{"rendered":"

T\u1eeb 1\/5, T\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c C\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc Xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u D\u1ea7u m\u1ecf (OPEC) m\u1ea5t \u0111i m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 C\u00e1c ti\u1ec3u v\u01b0\u01a1ng qu\u1ed1c Arab th\u1ed1ng nh\u1ea5t (UAE). \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 nh\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 l\u1edbn th\u1ee9 ba c\u1ee7a kh\u1ed1i, sau Arab Saudi v\u00e0 Iraq, chi\u1ebfm kho\u1ea3ng 4% th\u1ecb ph\u1ea7n to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n

Gi\u1edbi chuy\u00ean gia \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/a> t\u1eeb vi\u1ec7c UAE r\u1eddi OPEC<\/a> ch\u01b0a xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n, do eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz v\u1eabn \u0111\u00f3ng, l\u00e0m ngu\u1ed3n cung to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n kho\u1ea3ng 10-12 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 m\u1ed7i ng\u00e0y. Tuy nhi\u00ean, khi xung \u0111\u1ed9t Trung \u0110\u00f4ng ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t, kh\u00f4ng lo\u1ea1i tr\u1eeb cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u s\u1ebd b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 \u1edf v\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n

“M\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn m\u1edbi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 n\u1ed5 ra tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn h\u01a1n trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m t\u1edbi”, t\u1edd The Guardian<\/em> b\u00ecnh lu\u1eadn.<\/p>\n

Theo \u00f4ng Michael Tamvakis, Gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 v\u1ec1 h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a t\u1ea1i Tr\u01b0\u1eddng Kinh doanh Bayes \u1edf London (Anh), khi d\u1ea7u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i qua eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ebd xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n cu\u1ed9c \u0111ua nh\u1eb1m t\u1ed1i \u0111a h\u00f3a s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u \u0111\u1ec3 duy tr\u00ec doanh thu.<\/p>\n

OPEC t\u1eebng gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a UAE \u1edf m\u1ee9c 3,2 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng, trong khi th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf Abu Dhabi c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t g\u1ea7n 5 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng m\u1ed7i ng\u00e0y. Do \u0111\u00f3, vi\u1ec7c r\u1eddi kh\u1ecfi li\u00ean minh cho ph\u00e9p h\u1ecd t\u0103ng s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ec5 d\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n

Theo \u00f4ng Michael, Arab Saudi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 “ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd” do \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i n\u00e0y \u0111e d\u1ecda quy\u1ec1n l\u1ee3i c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd v\u1edbi t\u01b0 c\u00e1ch nh\u00e0 d\u1eabn d\u1eaft OPEC. Riyadh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ea1nh ch\u00e0o b\u00e1n d\u1ea7u cho kh\u00e1ch ch\u00e2u \u00c1 v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c chi\u1ebft kh\u1ea5u h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn h\u01a1n, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi c\u1ea1nh tranh tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u00e0nh l\u1ea1i th\u1ecb ph\u1ea7n s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m l\u1ecdc d\u1ea7u t\u1ea1i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u t\u1eeb UAE.<\/p>\n

\"Gi\u00e0n
Gi\u00e0n khoan d\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea1i gia d\u1ea7u kh\u00ed Saudi Aramco \u1edf m\u1ecf ngo\u00e0i kh\u01a1i t\u1ec9nh Eastern, mi\u1ec1n \u0111\u00f4ng Arab Saudi, th\u00e1ng 5\/2020. \u1ea2nh: AFP<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Arab Saudi v\u00e0 UAE \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 chi ph\u00ed s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t d\u1ea7u th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi v\u00e0 nhu c\u1ea7u thu ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch c\u1ea5p thi\u1ebft, nh\u1eb1m chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb cho n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u00edt carbon h\u01a1n trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai. Arab Saudi xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u d\u1ea7u nhi\u1ec1u nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, nh\u01b0ng UAE c\u0169ng l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7 \u0111\u00e1ng g\u1eddm.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u00f2n b\u1ea9y<\/a> c\u1ee7a UAE l\u00e0 c\u00f4ng su\u1ea5t d\u1ef1 ph\u00f2ng c\u00f2n l\u1edbn v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u th\u1ea5p nh\u1edd c\u01a1 c\u1ea5u kinh t\u1ebf \u0111a d\u1ea1ng. Nh\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t n\u00e0y t\u1eebng gi\u1eef s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u01b0\u1edbi 3 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng m\u1ed7i ng\u00e0y trong n\u0103m 2024 theo y\u00eau c\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a OPEC, nh\u01b0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u0103ng l\u00ean m\u1ee9c 4,5 \u0111\u1ebfn 6 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng m\u1ed7i ng\u00e0y khi eo Hormuz m\u1edf l\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n

\u00d4ng David Oxley, chuy\u00ean gia kinh t\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u1ec1 kh\u00ed h\u1eadu v\u00e0 h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a t\u1ea1i Capital Economics, n\u00f3i UAE \u0111ang “r\u1ea5t mu\u1ed1n b\u01a1m th\u00eam d\u1ea7u”, sau khi \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t nh\u1eefng n\u0103m g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y.<\/p>\n

Dieter Helm, Gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch kinh t\u1ebf t\u1ea1i \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc Oxford, so s\u00e1nh cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 s\u1eafp t\u1edbi v\u1edbi c\u00e1c c\u00fa s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 1980 v\u00e0 2014. \u00d4ng nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd “gi\u1ea3m nhanh v\u00e0 s\u00e2u h\u01a1n khi chi\u1ebfn tranh k\u1ebft th\u00fac”.<\/p>\n

Nh\u01b0ng cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 th\u1eddi h\u1eadu chi\u1ebfn kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n tay \u0111\u00f4i gi\u1eefa hai c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf Trung \u0110\u00f4ng. Trong l\u00fac xung \u0111\u1ed9t khi\u1ebfn ngu\u1ed3n cung c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia v\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t, nh\u00e0 cung \u1ee9ng kh\u00e1c \u0111ang t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng th\u1eddi c\u01a1.<\/p>\n

\"\u0110\u1ea1i
\u0110\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean OPEC t\u1ea1i cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp b\u00e1o \u1edf Vienna, \u00c1o, ng\u00e0y 5\/10. \u1ea2nh: AFP<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Theo gi\u1edbi ph\u00e2n t\u00edch, th\u1eddi gian \u0111\u1ea1t th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh c\u00e0ng k\u00e9o d\u00e0i, c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i cho M\u1ef9, Brazil v\u00e0 Guyana t\u0103ng th\u1ecb ph\u1ea7n d\u1ea7u to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u c\u00e0ng l\u1edbn. \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, c\u00fa s\u1ed1c ngu\u1ed3n cung khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf t\u0103ng t\u1ed1c gi\u1ea3m ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c<\/a> v\u00e0o nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u h\u00f3a th\u1ea1ch, g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o giai \u0111o\u1ea1n suy gi\u1ea3m s\u1edbm h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

Do \u0111\u00f3, vi\u1ec5n c\u1ea3nh xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n nhi\u1ec1u ngu\u1ed3n cung m\u1edbi trong m\u1ed9t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 \u00edt d\u1ea7u bu\u1ed9c c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t Trung \u0110\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng. H\u1ecd c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd b\u01a1m c\u00e0ng nhi\u1ec1u d\u1ea7u c\u00e0ng t\u1ed1t \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i h\u1eadu chi\u1ebfn v\u00e0 gi\u00e0nh l\u1ea1i v\u1ecb th\u1ebf th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, khi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n trong d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n.<\/p>\n

K\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n n\u00e0y \u0111i ng\u01b0\u1ee3c ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n v\u1edbi m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau c\u1ee7a OPEC<\/strong><\/span>, t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00e0nh l\u1eadp n\u0103m 1960 b\u1edfi 5 nh\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t d\u1ea7u l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi v\u00e0o th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u00f3, g\u1ed3m Arab Saudi, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait v\u00e0 Venezuela.<\/p>\n

OPEC t\u1eebng nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ea7n d\u00f9ng chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c<\/a> t\u0103ng, gi\u1ea3m s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ec3 b\u00ecnh \u1ed5n gi\u00e1, \u0111i\u1ec3n h\u00ecnh l\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m ngu\u1ed3n cung ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i c\u00fa s\u1ed1c d\u1ea7u \u0111\u00e1 phi\u1ebfn n\u0103m 2014 hay kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng Covid-19 n\u0103m 2020.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ec3 c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 th\u00eam quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c, t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c n\u00e0y ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c OPEC v\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh, g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 OPEC+ v\u00e0o 2016, v\u1edbi th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean ch\u1ee7 ch\u1ed1t g\u1ed3m Nga. Nh\u1edd \u0111\u00f3, t\u1ed5ng s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 c\u1ee7a nh\u00f3m li\u00ean minh n\u00e0y chi\u1ebfm g\u1ea7n 42% to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n

\"Di\u1ec5n
Di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u Brent (USD\/th\u00f9ng) t\u1eeb 1987 \u0111\u1ebfn th\u00e1ng 5\/2026. Ngu\u1ed3n: Macrotrends<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Nh\u01b0ng n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9 OPEC v\u00e0 OPEC+ kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00fac n\u00e0o c\u0169ng \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ed1ng nh\u1ea5t. N\u0103m 2020, khi Covid b\u00f9ng ph\u00e1t, Nga t\u1eeb ch\u1ed1i gi\u1ea3m s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng khi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u r\u01a1i xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t 20 n\u0103m. Arab Saudi ph\u00e1t \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1p tr\u1ea3, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m 10% ngu\u1ed3n cung to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n

B\u1ea3n th\u00e2n OPEC c\u0169ng t\u1eebng c\u00f3 16 qu\u1ed1c gia th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean v\u00e0o th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 \u0111\u1ec9nh cao, nh\u01b0ng ch\u1ec9 c\u00f2n 11, sau khi Ecuador, Indonesia, Qatar, Angola v\u00e0 g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 UAE r\u1eddi \u0111i. Trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai, c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia cho r\u1eb1ng n\u1ebfu UAE r\u1eddi OPEC d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean kh\u00e1c c\u0169ng b\u1ecf nh\u00f3m, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng c\u1ea1nh tranh v\u1ec1 gi\u00e1 c\u00f2n t\u0103ng v\u00e0 s\u1ee9c \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a li\u00ean minh n\u00e0y th\u00eam lung lay.<\/p>\n

“M\u1ea5t \u0111i m\u1ed9t th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i \u1edf v\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu uy t\u00edn c\u1ee7a OPEC. N\u1ebfu c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 b\u00f9 \u0111\u1eafp s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a UAE b\u1eb1ng k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt t\u1eadp th\u1ec3, vi\u1ec7c ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tr\u1edf n\u00ean kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n h\u01a1n”, Kim Fustier, nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u1ea5p cao t\u1ea1i HSBC Investment, nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n

Phi\u00ean An<\/strong> (theo The Guardian, CNN, Reuters<\/em>)<\/p>\n

\n
Ngu\u1ed3n: chi ti\u1ebft<\/a><\/i><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Chuy\u00ean gia c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o nguy c\u01a1 b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u do UAE kh\u00f4ng b\u1ecb h\u1ea1n ng\u1ea1ch c\u1ee7a OPEC r\u00e0ng bu\u1ed9c, khi xung \u0111\u1ed9t Trung \u0110\u00f4ng k\u1ebft th\u00fac.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":990005,"featured_media":1689,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1691","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"yoast_head":"\nNguy c\u01a1 'cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u' sau khi UAE r\u1eddi OPEC - Biomass Vietnam<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"LEC ENERGY is going to be the top exporter not only in Phu My Region but also all over Vietnam. 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